🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$33.6K
861 trades
Smart Whales
63
of 498 traders · 18 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs56 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 2% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 41 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+213 new YES$2.4K+353 new NO$31.3K
$1.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 89 buyers — left out of momentum
16 smart whales47 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 46% of the money is not a bet
$999 of $5.7K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $76·NO $3.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.5K(-99.9%)
Whales
25
2
0x29efa7c2...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·834.4 shares·also $439 on NO
$-417INV $417 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $373 on NO
$-367INV $368 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $365 on NO
$-365INV $365 · WR 55.0%
A
arcsine-barrister
Entry 89¢·128.8 shares
$-115INV $115 · WR 58.1%
R
revaraverboth sides
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $50 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 66.7%
O
orangelin
Entry 50¢·90 shares
$-45INV $45 · WR 78.0%
N
notlikethatboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 68.5%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.1%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 60.3%
F
Fluffy-Anorak-Souvenirhedged
Entry 50¢·30 shares·also $20 on NO
$-15INV $15 · WR 56.9%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 52ms