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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$1.2K
104 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 85 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

44 YESvs68 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 15 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+341 new YES$5.7K+387 new NO$31.2K
$5.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 133 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$1.9K of $14.1K is held equally on both sides by 12 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.8K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $90·NO $2.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.3K(-71.5%)
Whales
44
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,897.6 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-2518INV $3.4K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,874.9 shares·also $1.0K on NO
$-684INV $937 · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·805.9 shares·also $407 on NO
$-294INV $403 · WR 56.8%
B
bleedingmoneyhedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $368 on NO
$-274INV $375 · WR 57.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $370 on NO
$-268INV $368 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-66INV $90 · WR 55.6%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-40INV $55 · WR 61.9%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-33INV $45 · WR 78.1%
T
Tiradentes
Entry 44¢·59.5 shares
$-18INV $26 · WR 60.2%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-18INV $25 · WR 61.6%
Showing top 10 of 44

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 33% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2…