Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$27
63 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 64 traders · 15 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs23 NO
47%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 26% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 60%· net of hedges
+97 new YES$2.0K+131 new NO$2.7K
$1.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 31 buyers — left out of momentum
7 smart whales10 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 99% of the money is not a bet
$9.8K of $11.1K is held equally on both sides by 12 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $26·NO $74YES Team
Total Invested
$5.5K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-32.9%)
Whales
20
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-1320
$-1320INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,600 shares·also $800 on NO
Invested
$800
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-264
$-264INV $800 · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·978.7 shares·also $494 on NO
Invested
$489
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $489 · WR 56.8%
Y
yidianjiutonghedged
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $75 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $80 · WR 60.8%
E
edgehunter00both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $25 · WR 70.2%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $25 · WR 61.6%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
$-8
$-8INV $25 · WR 59.9%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-6
$-6INV $19 · WR 58.0%
F
0xf4a6f5ab...both sides
Entry 50¢·30 shares·also $15 on NO
Invested
$15
Win Rate
72.1%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $15 · WR 72.1%
P
pengfuqin
Entry 44¢·19 shares
Invested
$8
Win Rate
55.3%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $8 · WR 55.3%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
57.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.8K(+32.8%)
Whales
23
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$1320
+$1320INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,600 shares·also $800 on YES
Invested
$800
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$264
+$264INV $800 · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·988.9 shares·also $489 on YES
Invested
$494
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$163
+$163INV $494 · WR 56.8%
Y
yidianjiutonghedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$75
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $75 · WR 60.8%
E
edgehunter00both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
70.2%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 70.2%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 61.6%
O
orangelin1both sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
59.9%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $25 · WR 59.9%
E
Esteemed-Thump
Entry 48¢·43.5 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $21 · WR 55.5%
C
clearbasis22
Entry 65¢·30 shares
Invested
$20
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $20 · WR 56.0%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 23
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