Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22
2,390 trades
Smart Whales
137
of 902 traders · 51 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
82 YESvs106 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 43 YES vs 73 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 71%· net of hedges
+531 new YES$23.7K+616 new NO$40.4K
$24.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 282 buyers — left out of momentum
70 smart whales99 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 63% of the money is not a bet
$827 of $18.0K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $10.5K is hedged across different prices by 43 wallets. True directional: YES $547·NO $6.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$6.3K
Avg Win Rate
59.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$6.1K(-98.0%)
Whales
82
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,659.1 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.8K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
$-3791
$-3791INV $3.8K · WR 58.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,371.7 shares·also $590 on NO
Invested
$686
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-679
$-679INV $686 · WR 56.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·515.6 shares·also $259 on NO
Invested
$258
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-255
$-255INV $258 · WR 56.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 56¢·379.1 shares·also $142 on NO
Invested
$210
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-209
$-209INV $210 · WR 55.1%
X
xinxin103hedged
Entry 91¢·200 shares·also $112 on NO
Invested
$182
Win Rate
73.4%
Position P&L
$-181
$-181INV $182 · WR 73.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.6%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 64¢·97.4 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$62
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-61
$-61INV $62 · WR 57.3%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 94¢·60 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 58.2%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 94¢·60 shares·also $186 on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
64.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 64.3%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-54
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 82
NO Team
Total Invested
$12.4K
Avg Win Rate
72.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$6.0K(+48.6%)
Whales
106
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,975 shares·also $3.8K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.1%
Position P&L
+$3948
+$3948INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
7
7kFromBigYahu🥈
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
95.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $1.5K · WR 95.4%
Y
yongzhuanziben002🥉
Entry 99¢·1,010 shares
Invested
$1000
Win Rate
91.8%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $1000 · WR 91.8%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·958 shares
Invested
$949
Win Rate
83.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $949 · WR 83.8%
H
hoodquant
Entry 97¢·626 shares
Invested
$610
Win Rate
90.1%
Position P&L
+$13
+$13INV $610 · WR 90.1%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killinghedged
Entry 50¢·1,179.7 shares·also $686 on YES
Invested
$590
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
+$584
+$584INV $590 · WR 56.2%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·524 shares
Invested
$519
Win Rate
76.1%
Position P&L
$-259
$-259INV $519 · WR 76.1%
M
mia1111hedged
Entry 99¢·300 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$297
Win Rate
66.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $297 · WR 66.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...both sides
Entry 50¢·518.9 shares·also $258 on YES
Invested
$259
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$257
+$257INV $259 · WR 56.8%
U
Unwilling-Timetablehedged
Entry 98¢·201 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$197
Win Rate
67.8%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $197 · WR 67.8%
Showing top 10 of 106
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