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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$960
98 trades
Smart Whales
67
of 82 traders · 30 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

47 YESvs50 NO
49%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 22% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 29 NO taking a side · 16 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 64%· net of hedges
+359 new YES$7.5K+326 new NO$11.1K
$5.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 170 buyers — left out of momentum
32 smart whales31 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 90% of the money is not a bet
$634 of $9.5K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $223·NO $770
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.3K(-50.7%)
Whales
47
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·5,303.3 shares·also $2.9K on NO
$-1352INV $2.7K · WR 58.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·804.1 shares·also $419 on NO
$-205INV $402 · WR 57.0%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·700 shares·also $400 on NO
$-179INV $350 · WR 56.6%
B
bleedingmoneyhedged
Entry 50¢·647.9 shares·also $344 on NO
$-165INV $324 · WR 60.7%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-46INV $90 · WR 55.7%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 56¢·152.8 shares·also $39 on NO
$-48INV $85 · WR 60.2%
J
jotpolboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-31INV $60 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-31INV $60 · WR 61.8%
H
hex001hedged
Entry 50¢·115.9 shares·also $80 on NO
$-30INV $58 · WR 55.5%
T
Tender-Ideahedged
Entry 53¢·88.1 shares·also $13 on NO
$-26INV $47 · WR 79.4%
Showing top 10 of 47

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 58% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1…