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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$236
1,924 trades
Smart Whales
114
of 857 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

45 YESvs100 NO
31%69%
69% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 12% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 70 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+351 new YES$7.4K+650 new NO$39.2K
$7.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 169 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales95 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$601 of $12.2K is held equally on both sides by 11 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.6K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $603·NO $4.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.2K(-98.9%)
Whales
45
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,000.1 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-2970INV $3.0K · WR 58.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·542.2 shares·also $279 on NO
$-268INV $271 · WR 57.0%
N
Neat-Warlock-Killing🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·492 shares·also $210 on NO
$-244INV $246 · WR 56.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.5%
J
jotpolhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.8%
M
maxpein756321
Entry 52¢·96 shares
$-49INV $50 · WR 60.0%
9
0x998fc57b...hedged
Entry 58¢·79 shares·also $43 on NO
$-45INV $46 · WR 55.1%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 45

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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