🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$749
72 trades
Smart Whales
76
of 61 traders · 26 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

38 YESvs64 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 13% YES by dollars · 16 YES vs 48 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 67%· net of hedges
+305 new YES$7.5K+400 new NO$12.0K
$6.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 160 buyers — left out of momentum
30 smart whales49 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 81% of the money is not a bet
$1.4K of $12.5K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.7K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $293·NO $2.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.2K(-97.0%)
Whales
38
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,994.3 shares·also $3.9K on NO
$-3392INV $3.5K · WR 58.1%
B
bubblebust🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-364INV $375 · WR 55.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $360 on NO
$-364INV $375 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·749.2 shares·also $416 on NO
$-363INV $375 · WR 57.1%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 63¢·244.6 shares
$-150INV $153 · WR 60.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-58INV $60 · WR 61.7%
2
0x26d76c9b...hedged
Entry 36¢·148 shares·also $218 on NO
$-51INV $53 · WR 59.3%
W
Which-Crawdad
Entry 73¢·69.4 shares
$-50INV $51 · WR 58.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 35¢·117.3 shares·also $95 on NO
$-39INV $41 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 38

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 59ms
Smart money 37% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31…