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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$133
1,088 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 629 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

34 YESvs67 NO
34%66%
66% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+315 new YES$3.7K+410 new NO$21.9K
$2.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 115 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales62 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 84% of the money is not a bet
$2.0K of $12.1K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.0K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $126·NO $1.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
57.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.1K(-98.9%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,121.4 shares·also $3.8K on NO
$-3525INV $3.6K · WR 58.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·811 shares·also $421 on NO
$-401INV $406 · WR 57.1%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 55.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $368 on NO
$-366INV $370 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.7%
H
hevenshine
Entry 40¢·127 shares
$-50INV $50 · WR 55.6%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
O
orangelin1hedged
Entry 47¢·60 shares·also $33 on NO
$-28INV $28 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 34

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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