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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$30.0K
2,671 trades
Smart Whales
103
of 839 traders · 26 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

50 YESvs79 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 57 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+526 new YES$17.5K+564 new NO$45.5K
$25.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 272 buyers — left out of momentum
47 smart whales83 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 58% of the money is not a bet
$1.2K of $12.7K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.1K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $178·NO $5.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-97.4%)
Whales
50
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·5,429 shares·also $3.2K on NO
$-2712INV $2.7K · WR 58.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·667.1 shares·also $333 on NO
$-333INV $334 · WR 57.1%
B
0xb543fd77...🥉hedged
Entry 28¢·419 shares·also $317 on NO
$-118INV $118 · WR 55.0%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 40¢·226.5 shares·also $24 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 60.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.7%
R
riverunit85hedged
Entry 46¢·144 shares·also $104 on NO
+$7INV $66 · WR 56.2%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.7%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.4%
P
pnyyhedged
Entry 40¢·86.4 shares·also $100 on NO
$-34INV $34 · WR 68.7%
Showing top 10 of 50

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31…