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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$24.3K
2,296 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 773 traders · 28 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

46 YESvs72 NO
39%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 48% YES by dollars · 20 YES vs 60 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+408 new YES$13.1K+562 new NO$35.6K
$12.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 222 buyers — left out of momentum
39 smart whales76 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 54% of the money is not a bet
$432 of $17.3K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.0K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $3.8K·NO $4.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$8.5K
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$8.4K(-98.9%)
Whales
46
G
Gonnnnnn🥇
Entry 50¢·7,302.5 shares
$-3588INV $3.6K · WR 65.6%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·6,676 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3305INV $3.3K · WR 58.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·716.8 shares·also $343 on NO
$-355INV $358 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebusthedged
Entry 50¢·679.4 shares·also $323 on NO
$-336INV $340 · WR 55.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·533.3 shares·also $277 on NO
$-264INV $267 · WR 57.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 17¢·222.5 shares·also $158 on NO
$-36INV $37 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 46

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31…