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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$18.8K
1,668 trades
Smart Whales
92
of 754 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

42 YESvs73 NO
37%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 23 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+413 new YES$7.2K+484 new NO$30.4K
$8.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 175 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales70 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 64% of the money is not a bet
$1.7K of $15.0K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $7.9K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $158·NO $5.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.0K(-99.8%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,509.3 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3251INV $3.3K · WR 58.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $365 on NO
$-365INV $365 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebust🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·710.2 shares·also $355 on NO
$-355INV $355 · WR 55.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·649.1 shares·also $346 on NO
$-324INV $325 · WR 57.1%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 43¢·210 shares·also $90 on NO
$-91INV $91 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.7%
O
OhioAIhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $117 on NO
$-54INV $54 · WR 55.0%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 60¢·90.6 shares·also $74 on NO
$-54INV $54 · WR 66.4%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 41¢·119.9 shares·also $12 on NO
$-49INV $49 · WR 60.7%
2
0x26d76c9b...hedged
Entry 16¢·273 shares·also $93 on NO
$-43INV $43 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 42

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 37% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31…