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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$23.4K
1,360 trades
Smart Whales
86
of 663 traders · 23 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

42 YESvs67 NO
39%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 44 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 81%· net of hedges
+361 new YES$6.8K+440 new NO$16.6K
$7.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 172 buyers — left out of momentum
31 smart whales58 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 83% of the money is not a bet
$10.0K of $13.4K is held equally on both sides by 11 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $131·NO $2.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.7K(-98.9%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·7,969 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3945INV $4.0K · WR 58.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·841 shares·also $455 on NO
$-416INV $421 · WR 57.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebustboth sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 41¢·201.5 shares·also $36 on NO
$-81INV $82 · WR 60.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.7%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
2
0x26d76c9b...hedged
Entry 36¢·103.7 shares·also $101 on NO
$-37INV $37 · WR 59.3%
Showing top 10 of 42

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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