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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$6
1,244 trades
Smart Whales
71
of 637 traders · 15 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

26 YESvs60 NO
30%70%
70% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 45 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+318 new YES$4.5K+444 new NO$25.1K
$4.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 154 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales54 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$515 of $11.5K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.6K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $119·NO $2.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.7K(-99.3%)
Whales
26
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,757.4 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3875INV $3.9K · WR 58.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $363 on NO
$-367INV $368 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
He1531
Entry 41¢·153.4 shares
$-63INV $63 · WR 55.3%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.8%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.5%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 78.4%
R
Raw-Pumpkinseed
Entry 49¢·50 shares
$-25INV $25 · WR 59.3%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $24 on NO
$-24INV $24 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 26

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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