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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$32.5K
1,257 trades
Smart Whales
74
of 645 traders · 17 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs66 NO
28%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+322 new YES$4.1K+435 new NO$26.3K
$3.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 131 buyers — left out of momentum
17 smart whales59 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 60% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $13.0K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.5K is hedged across different prices by 7 wallets. True directional: YES $17·NO $5.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-99.0%)
Whales
25
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,361 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3149INV $3.2K · WR 58.3%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.8%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 78.4%
N
notlikethatboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 71.2%
Q
QuadBTCboth sides
Entry 50¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
$-25INV $25 · WR 62.8%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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