🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In
Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$40.8K
1,657 trades
Smart Whales
111
of 770 traders · 24 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

55 YESvs80 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 31 YES vs 59 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 82%· net of hedges
+430 new YES$11.1K+522 new NO$30.4K
$11.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 210 buyers — left out of momentum
51 smart whales74 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$1.8K of $6.7K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $663 is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $606·NO $3.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$2.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.9K(-97.3%)
Whales
55
E
0xe1e556d1...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $365 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.3%
B
bubblebust🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $363 on NO
$-359INV $363 · WR 55.0%
M
Mindless-Soliloquy🥉
Entry 43¢·647.5 shares
$-273INV $276 · WR 56.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 57¢·166.4 shares·also $38 on NO
$-94INV $95 · WR 65.4%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 57¢·165 shares·also $38 on NO
$-94INV $95 · WR 56.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 68¢·93.3 shares·also $21 on NO
$-63INV $63 · WR 57.1%
2
0x26d76c9b...hedged
Entry 29¢·209.3 shares·also $87 on NO
$-61INV $62 · WR 59.3%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.7%
O
ohioism
Entry 73¢·74.1 shares
$-54INV $54 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 55

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 146ms