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Resolved

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
0¢
0% implied
NO Price
100¢
100% implied
Volume
$130.1K
3,991 trades
Smart Whales
136
of 976 traders · 44 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

87 YESvs93 NO
48%52%
52% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 51 YES vs 54 NO taking a side · 14 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 84%· net of hedges
+621 new YES$37.1K+662 new NO$92.2K
$48.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 334 buyers — left out of momentum
82 smart whales94 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 63% of the money is not a bet
$5.2K of $15.6K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $4.6K is hedged across different prices by 36 wallets. True directional: YES $631·NO $5.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.7K
Avg Win Rate
60.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$5.6K(-98.5%)
Whales
87
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,730.4 shares·also $2.4K on NO
$-2342INV $2.4K · WR 58.3%
A
Atomforge🥈hedged
Entry 21¢·3,857.1 shares·also $1.5K on NO
$-777INV $796 · WR 63.3%
E
EZTRADNL1🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·746 shares·also $378 on NO
$-357INV $360 · WR 60.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·666.5 shares·also $323 on NO
$-330INV $333 · WR 56.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 44¢·411.7 shares·also $187 on NO
$-178INV $180 · WR 55.0%
G
gningdhedged
Entry 33¢·300 shares·also $129 on NO
$-98INV $99 · WR 56.2%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
A
Anon-0xCEhedged
Entry 43¢·191.7 shares·also $24 on NO
$-81INV $82 · WR 55.5%
D
0xd33d0d18...hedged
Entry 7¢·1,050 shares·also $817 on NO
$-70INV $76 · WR 77.9%
L
lelimarket
Entry 45¢·155.3 shares
$-70INV $71 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 87

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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