Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.6K
1,366 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 666 traders · 19 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
65 YESvs34 NO
66%34%
66% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 93% YES by dollars · 52 YES vs 14 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 86%· net of hedges
+443 new YES$25.1K+317 new NO$6.1K
$4.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 121 buyers — left out of momentum
56 smart whales22 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$501 of $12.5K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.0K is hedged across different prices by 11 wallets. True directional: YES $2.8K·NO $199YES Team
Total Invested
$8.0K
Avg Win Rate
63.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$5.1K(+63.8%)
Whales
65
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,980 shares·also $3.6K on NO
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$3950
+$3950INV $4.0K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·812.8 shares·also $396 on NO
Invested
$406
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$402
+$402INV $406 · WR 57.0%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·389 shares
Invested
$385
Win Rate
89.7%
Position P&L
$-189
$-189INV $385 · WR 89.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
N
not-epstein
Entry 98¢·380 shares
Invested
$373
Win Rate
63.5%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $373 · WR 63.5%
J
jhjhjhjhjh
Entry 98¢·329.1 shares
Invested
$322
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $322 · WR 57.6%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·320 shares
Invested
$317
Win Rate
73.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $317 · WR 73.7%
B
Bot.0
Entry 96¢·187 shares
Invested
$180
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $180 · WR 64.4%
2
286F265f-178607406
Entry 97¢·179.4 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
93.0%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $174 · WR 93.0%
E
EZTRADNL1
Entry 52¢·285 shares
Invested
$148
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$136
+$136INV $148 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 65
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.8K(-98.0%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,252.1 shares·also $4.0K on YES
Invested
$3.6K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-3590
$-3590INV $3.6K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·791.5 shares·also $406 on YES
Invested
$396
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-392
$-392INV $396 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
M
makmx
Entry 61¢·133 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
58.2%
Position P&L
$-80
$-80INV $81 · WR 58.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.8%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·89 shares·also $45 on YES
Invested
$45
Win Rate
64.7%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $45 · WR 64.7%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $126 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
65.5%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
78.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 78.4%
Showing top 10 of 34
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