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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.2K
1,878 trades
Smart Whales
117
of 795 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

96 YESvs48 NO
67%33%
67% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 84% YES by dollars · 77 YES vs 18 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+598 new YES$37.0K+363 new NO$9.4K
$9.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 196 buyers — left out of momentum
88 smart whales39 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 68% of the money is not a bet
$6.7K of $12.4K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $3.3K·NO $633
YES Team
Total Invested
$7.8K
Avg Win Rate
66.5%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.3K(+55.3%)
Whales
96
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·6,156.6 shares·also $3.1K on NO
+$2986INV $3.1K · WR 58.3%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 99¢·843 shares
$-2INV $833 · WR 89.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·738.7 shares·also $365 on NO
+$358INV $369 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·658.1 shares·also $334 on NO
+$319INV $329 · WR 57.0%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·320 shares
$-2INV $317 · WR 73.7%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·303 shares
$-2INV $300 · WR 69.1%
M
makmxhedged
Entry 78¢·273.5 shares·also $85 on NO
+$55INV $214 · WR 58.2%
L
lisra
Entry 97¢·204.5 shares
+$3INV $199 · WR 92.9%
5
0x5bba716c...
Entry 99¢·200 shares
$-97INV $198 · WR 91.1%
O
ohioismhedged
Entry 82¢·200.8 shares·also $22 on NO
+$33INV $164 · WR 60.2%
Showing top 10 of 96

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 67% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30…