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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET

Trade on Polymarket
YES Price
44¢
44% implied
NO Price
56¢
56% implied
Volume
$8
1,386 trades
Smart Whales
81
of 648 traders · 22 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

39 YESvs64 NO
38%62%
62% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 18 YES vs 48 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+307 new YES$5.1K+444 new NO$27.7K
$5.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 135 buyers — left out of momentum
28 smart whales55 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 82% of the money is not a bet
$524 of $12.3K is held equally on both sides by 9 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $9.6K is hedged across different prices by 13 wallets. True directional: YES $125·NO $2.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-68.9%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·7,834 shares·also $4.0K on NO
$-3878INV $3.9K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·757.5 shares·also $374 on NO
$-375INV $379 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $370 on NO
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
$-54INV $55 · WR 61.8%
J
johnchenhc2both sides
Entry 50¢·90 shares·also $45 on NO
$-45INV $45 · WR 64.7%
C
0xc420a947...
Entry 1¢·3,605.4 shares
+$1527INV $41 · WR 60.4%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 65.5%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
E
Exotic-Variation
Entry 31¢·116.8 shares
$-36INV $37 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 39

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 38% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30…