Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$558
39 trades
Smart Whales
93
of 43 traders · 34 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
54 YESvs73 NO
43%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 37% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 16 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 63%· net of hedges
+453 new YES$16.6K+537 new NO$20.9K
$20.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 260 buyers — left out of momentum
47 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$1.4K of $11.7K is held equally on both sides by 10 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $8.5K is hedged across different prices by 24 wallets. True directional: YES $645·NO $1.1KYES Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
58.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.3K(-76.8%)
Whales
54
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·6,862.2 shares·also $4.0K on NO
Invested
$3.4K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-2642
$-2642INV $3.4K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·802.6 shares·also $438 on NO
Invested
$401
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-309
$-309INV $401 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·725 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$363
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-279
$-279INV $363 · WR 56.3%
O
ohioism
Entry 79¢·300.2 shares
Invested
$236
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
$-202
$-202INV $236 · WR 60.2%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 50¢·294 shares·also $119 on NO
Invested
$146
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-112
$-112INV $146 · WR 60.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 35¢·289 shares·also $54 on NO
Invested
$101
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $101 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-69
$-69INV $90 · WR 55.8%
H
hevenshinehedged
Entry 67¢·127 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$86
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $86 · WR 56.1%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 76¢·81 shares·also $66 on NO
Invested
$61
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $61 · WR 66.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
$-46
$-46INV $60 · WR 61.8%
Showing top 10 of 54
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.4K(+72.7%)
Whales
73
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·8,000 shares·also $3.4K on YES
Invested
$4.0K
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$3080
+$3080INV $4.0K · WR 58.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·876.8 shares·also $401 on YES
Invested
$438
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$338
+$338INV $438 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $363 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$277
+$277INV $360 · WR 56.3%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 82¢·145 shares·also $146 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $119 · WR 60.8%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$69
+$69INV $90 · WR 55.8%
J
Jamel129
Entry 53¢·146.1 shares
Invested
$78
Win Rate
56.0%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $78 · WR 56.0%
M
MinistryOfPanichedged
Entry 40¢·181.7 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$73
Win Rate
58.8%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $73 · WR 58.8%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 46¢·141.3 shares·also $61 on YES
Invested
$66
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $66 · WR 66.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.8%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $60 · WR 61.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 74¢·72.5 shares·also $101 on YES
Invested
$54
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $54 · WR 55.0%
Showing top 10 of 73
Smart Whale Trades
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