Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$66
5 trades
Smart Whales
18
of 8 traders · 8 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
9 YESvs17 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 1 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 60%· net of hedges
+40 new YES$3.8K+88 new NO$2.7K
$535 of this was bought on both sides by the same 17 buyers — left out of momentum
3 smart whales13 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 84% of the money is not a bet
$1.0K of $5.5K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.6K is hedged across different prices by 3 wallets. True directional: YES $2·NO $878YES Team
Total Invested
$2.3K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$116(+5.0%)
Whales
9
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,515.3 shares·also $2.5K on NO
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
+$88
+$88INV $1.8K · WR 58.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$500
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
+$25
+$25INV $500 · WR 57.6%
5
5ffpa4f🥉hedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $25 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
R
Raw-Pumpkinseedhedged
Entry 49¢·25 shares·also $12 on NO
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $12 · WR 55.4%
0
0DD909D9
Entry 52¢·3.3 shares
Invested
$2
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $2 · WR 65.7%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 56.6%
P
Previous-Fairnessboth sides
Entry 50¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 61.3%
E
Elated-Spray-Regionboth sides
Entry 50¢·1 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 63.2%
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.2K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$159(-4.9%)
Whales
17
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,979 shares·also $1.8K on YES
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $2.5K · WR 58.4%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $500 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-25
$-25INV $500 · WR 57.6%
M
moontrader1🥉
Entry 50¢·200 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $100 · WR 55.5%
Z
zhangyuan
Entry 50¢·101.5 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
66.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $51 · WR 66.1%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.5%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $25 · WR 56.5%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
D
donnx32
Entry 47¢·34.9 shares
Invested
$16
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $16 · WR 58.3%
R
Raw-Pumpkinseedhedged
Entry 49¢·25 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$12
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $12 · WR 55.4%
S
Sophisticated-Pressurization
Entry 53¢·19 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $10 · WR 61.1%
A
Agabooboo
Entry 49¢·15 shares
Invested
$7
Win Rate
80.1%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $7 · WR 80.1%
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