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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
16¢
16% implied
NO Price
84¢
84% implied
Volume
$32
2,648 trades
Smart Whales
112
of 837 traders · 27 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

71 YESvs68 NO
51%49%
51% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 43 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+548 new YES$28.8K+513 new NO$21.4K
$23.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 249 buyers — left out of momentum
75 smart whales69 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 73% of the money is not a bet
$365 of $8.3K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $5.7K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $933·NO $1.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$5.6K
Avg Win Rate
64.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.7K(+47.2%)
Whales
71
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,169.9 shares·also $2.4K on NO
+$2064INV $2.1K · WR 58.4%
A
algodream🥈
Entry 99¢·1,231 shares
$-1028INV $1.2K · WR 64.9%
Y
yongzhuanziben002🥉
Entry 99¢·466.6 shares
$-390INV $462 · WR 89.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·697.8 shares·also $363 on NO
+$345INV $349 · WR 57.6%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 61¢·435.9 shares·also $76 on NO
+$166INV $268 · WR 61.1%
A
absolute.unit
Entry 77¢·165.1 shares
+$37INV $127 · WR 88.3%
Q
qmaxm
Entry 72¢·150 shares
+$41INV $108 · WR 60.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 54¢·189.3 shares·also $85 on NO
+$86INV $103 · WR 55.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
+$59INV $60 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 71

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 51% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29…