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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20.6K
2,239 trades
Smart Whales
94
of 753 traders · 35 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs78 NO
40%61%
61% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 20% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 55 NO taking a side · 13 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 74%· net of hedges
+453 new YES$14.8K+529 new NO$26.3K
$16.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 262 buyers — left out of momentum
45 smart whales73 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 71% of the money is not a bet
$5.1K of $9.6K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $552·NO $2.2K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
59.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-97.7%)
Whales
51
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,032.9 shares·also $2.0K on NO
$-1996INV $2.0K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·842 shares·also $434 on NO
$-417INV $421 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·700 shares·also $350 on NO
$-347INV $350 · WR 56.3%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 36¢·880.3 shares·also $36 on NO
$-317INV $321 · WR 61.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 37¢·254.9 shares·also $211 on NO
$-93INV $94 · WR 55.1%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-74INV $75 · WR 55.7%
9
0x90b95524...hedged
Entry 38¢·166.7 shares·also $71 on NO
$-62INV $63 · WR 55.2%
T
threnaboleboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 59.2%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.9%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 41¢·142.9 shares·also $1 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.2%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28…