🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.5K
1,539 trades
Smart Whales
95
of 700 traders · 19 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

29 YESvs85 NO
25%75%
75% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 69 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 91%· net of hedges
+326 new YES$5.7K+506 new NO$27.6K
$6.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 157 buyers — left out of momentum
24 smart whales79 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$667 of $9.4K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.8K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $58·NO $1.9K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-86.0%)
Whales
29
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,924.2 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-2388INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·831.7 shares·also $436 on NO
$-403INV $416 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·705 shares·also $368 on NO
$-342INV $353 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
hibro123both sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-73INV $75 · WR 75.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-58INV $60 · WR 61.9%
T
threnabolehedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-56INV $58 · WR 59.2%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-36INV $38 · WR 56.9%
T
tarnoblistboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-36INV $38 · WR 65.8%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $77 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 77.4%
Showing top 10 of 29

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 75ms
Smart money 25% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28…