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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.2K
2,064 trades
Smart Whales
94
of 718 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

51 YESvs74 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 16% YES by dollars · 22 YES vs 46 NO taking a side · 12 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 83%· net of hedges
+434 new YES$13.1K+494 new NO$33.2K
$15.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 241 buyers — left out of momentum
47 smart whales68 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$662 of $8.2K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.3K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $201·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-94.9%)
Whales
51
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,684.2 shares·also $1.9K on NO
$-1787INV $1.8K · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·705 shares·also $360 on NO
$-342INV $353 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·695.3 shares·also $390 on NO
$-337INV $348 · WR 56.8%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 56¢·243.7 shares·also $150 on NO
$-133INV $136 · WR 56.2%
M
mrloxhedged
Entry 71¢·143.7 shares·also $102 on NO
$-100INV $102 · WR 68.1%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 32¢·308.8 shares·also $263 on NO
$-93INV $98 · WR 55.1%
W
weerrt
Entry 75¢·113.5 shares
$-84INV $86 · WR 95.6%
H
hibro123both sides
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $75 on NO
$-73INV $75 · WR 75.8%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-73INV $75 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
$-58INV $60 · WR 61.9%
Showing top 10 of 51

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 41% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28…