Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$14.7K
1,383 trades
Smart Whales
105
of 721 traders · 25 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
91 YESvs39 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 81% YES by dollars · 59 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 94%· net of hedges
+496 new YES$25.6K+338 new NO$3.7K
$4.2K of this was bought on both sides by the same 145 buyers — left out of momentum
85 smart whales30 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$2.0K of $8.4K is held equally on both sides by 6 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $5.0K is hedged across different prices by 19 wallets. True directional: YES $1.0K·NO $247YES Team
Total Invested
$6.8K
Avg Win Rate
69.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.6K(+37.9%)
Whales
91
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,488.9 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$2.2K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2177
+$2177INV $2.2K · WR 58.5%
Y
yongzhuanziben002🥈
Entry 99¢·658.3 shares
Invested
$652
Win Rate
88.0%
Position P&L
$-319
$-319INV $652 · WR 88.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $496 on NO
Invested
$500
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$485
+$485INV $500 · WR 56.8%
V
V612
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
92.4%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $495 · WR 92.4%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·747.8 shares·also $373 on NO
Invested
$374
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$363
+$363INV $374 · WR 56.3%
B
BFEB02
Entry 99¢·261 shares
Invested
$258
Win Rate
72.0%
Position P&L
$-127
$-127INV $258 · WR 72.0%
S
stcharlos3
Entry 99¢·152 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
68.9%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $150 · WR 68.9%
H
hoodquant
Entry 97¢·132.8 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $129 · WR 89.4%
U
Unequaled-Title
Entry 99¢·101.1 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
83.7%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $100 · WR 83.7%
M
Mars9
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $100 · WR 88.6%
Showing top 10 of 91
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.8K
Avg Win Rate
58.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.4K(-89.1%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,800 shares·also $2.2K on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2328
$-2328INV $2.4K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·992.1 shares·also $500 on YES
Invested
$496
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-481
$-481INV $496 · WR 56.8%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $374 on YES
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-361
$-361INV $373 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-87
$-87INV $90 · WR 55.7%
T
threnabolehedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $67 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
59.2%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $60 · WR 59.2%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $66 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.9%
Position P&L
$-58
$-58INV $60 · WR 61.9%
T
tarnoblisthedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $96 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
65.8%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 65.8%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $94 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-36
$-36INV $38 · WR 56.9%
H
hibro123hedged
Entry 50¢·56.7 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
75.8%
Position P&L
$-28
$-28INV $28 · WR 75.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $28 on YES
Invested
$28
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $28 · WR 77.4%
Showing top 10 of 39
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