Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
YES Price
45¢
45% implied
NO Price
55¢
55% implied
Volume
$440
69 trades
Smart Whales
73
of 70 traders · 26 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
36 YESvs63 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 44% YES by dollars · 14 YES vs 52 NO taking a side · 7 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 88%· net of hedges
+366 new YES$7.4K+530 new NO$25.1K
$8.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 194 buyers — left out of momentum
26 smart whales55 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$95 of $8.4K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.0K is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $1.0K·NO $1.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-94.4%)
Whales
36
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,894.3 shares·also $1.9K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2325
$-2325INV $2.4K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·921.7 shares·also $468 on NO
Invested
$461
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-438
$-438INV $461 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-347
$-347INV $365 · WR 56.3%
V
VODLA
Entry 20¢·700 shares
Invested
$140
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-123
$-123INV $140 · WR 55.6%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·174.3 shares
Invested
$87
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-83
$-83INV $87 · WR 55.5%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 37¢·226.6 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
$-78
$-78INV $83 · WR 61.1%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$75
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $75 · WR 55.7%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 54¢·124.2 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$68
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $68 · WR 56.1%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $58 · WR 61.7%
E
EZTRADNL1
Entry 26¢·199.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $51 · WR 61.4%
Showing top 10 of 36
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.3K
Avg Win Rate
61.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.1K(+70.8%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,766 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$1789
+$1789INV $1.9K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·936 shares·also $461 on YES
Invested
$468
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$445
+$445INV $468 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$352
+$352INV $370 · WR 56.3%
V
VisMoniker
Entry 95¢·189.5 shares
Invested
$181
Win Rate
84.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $181 · WR 84.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·160 shares·also $3 on YES
Invested
$156
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $156 · WR 63.2%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·160 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$154
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $154 · WR 57.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 80¢·130.1 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$104
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$23
+$23INV $104 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$86
+$86INV $90 · WR 55.7%
O
ohioism
Entry 77¢·115.2 shares
Invested
$89
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$24
+$24INV $89 · WR 60.2%
R
rahula21vr
Entry 87¢·81.6 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
60.6%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $71 · WR 60.6%
Showing top 10 of 63
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