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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
1¢
1% implied
NO Price
99¢
99% implied
Volume
$30
3,072 trades
Smart Whales
137
of 1,012 traders · 36 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

69 YESvs104 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 30% YES by dollars · 38 YES vs 66 NO taking a side · 11 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 59%· net of hedges
+605 new YES$27.8K+658 new NO$33.6K
$28.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 301 buyers — left out of momentum
64 smart whales100 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 67% of the money is not a bet
$1.6K of $8.8K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $4.3K is hedged across different prices by 31 wallets. True directional: YES $857·NO $2.0K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
59.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-97.1%)
Whales
69
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,005.6 shares·also $1.8K on NO
$-1458INV $1.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·844.1 shares·also $422 on NO
$-409INV $422 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·690 shares·also $345 on NO
$-335INV $345 · WR 56.3%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 50¢·418.5 shares
$-204INV $211 · WR 61.1%
B
Bigdog2025
Entry 90¢·224.7 shares
$-198INV $202 · WR 64.3%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 73¢·199.3 shares·also $131 on NO
$-143INV $146 · WR 61.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 52¢·249.1 shares·also $138 on NO
$-125INV $129 · WR 55.0%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·200 shares
$-97INV $100 · WR 55.5%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·150 shares·also $90 on NO
$-73INV $75 · WR 55.7%
R
riverunit85hedged
Entry 69¢·100 shares·also $28 on NO
$-69INV $69 · WR 56.6%
Showing top 10 of 69

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 40% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27…