🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.7K
1,648 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 784 traders · 25 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

31 YESvs82 NO
27%73%
73% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 6 YES vs 70 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+323 new YES$5.0K+581 new NO$40.3K
$5.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 158 buyers — left out of momentum
21 smart whales79 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 41% of the money is not a bet
$5.2K of $17.8K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.2K is hedged across different prices by 21 wallets. True directional: YES $32·NO $10.4K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.7K(-99.5%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·4,969.5 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-2482INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·936 shares·also $500 on NO
$-468INV $468 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·740 shares·also $375 on NO
$-370INV $370 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
L
lossxhedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $44 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 63.4%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 46¢·69 shares·also $106 on NO
$-32INV $32 · WR 57.6%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $77 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 77.3%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 50¢·43 shares·also $70 on NO
$-22INV $22 · WR 56.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 31

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 115ms
Smart money 27% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27…