Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$2
1,397 trades
Smart Whales
62
of 598 traders · 29 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
47 YESvs44 NO
52%48%
52% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 34% YES by dollars · 21 YES vs 32 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 79%· net of hedges
+334 new YES$9.2K+408 new NO$19.6K
$10.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 179 buyers — left out of momentum
39 smart whales38 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$1.4K of $8.7K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $5.1K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $760·NO $1.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
61.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$4.0K(-99.0%)
Whales
47
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,747.7 shares·also $2.5K on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1855
$-1855INV $1.9K · WR 58.5%
X
x317🥈
Entry 51¢·1,000 shares
Invested
$507
Win Rate
79.8%
Position P&L
$-502
$-502INV $507 · WR 79.8%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $500 on NO
Invested
$500
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
$-495
$-495INV $500 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-364
$-364INV $368 · WR 56.3%
A
Atomforge
Entry 51¢·209.9 shares
Invested
$107
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $107 · WR 63.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 68¢·88 shares·also $48 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 56¢·100 shares·also $175 on NO
Invested
$56
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $56 · WR 56.1%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 30¢·177.9 shares·also $87 on NO
Invested
$53
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $53 · WR 61.4%
Showing top 10 of 47
NO Team
Total Invested
$4.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$4.0K(+85.1%)
Whales
44
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,918.8 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2435
+$2435INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·1,000 shares·also $500 on YES
Invested
$500
Win Rate
57.0%
Position P&L
+$495
+$495INV $500 · WR 57.0%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 56.3%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 55¢·317.6 shares·also $56 on YES
Invested
$175
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$141
+$141INV $175 · WR 56.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 57.4%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
63.2%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 63.2%
O
Oval-Yoyo
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
60.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $100 · WR 60.2%
S
Stark-Tillhedged
Entry 99¢·100 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $99 · WR 88.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 54¢·161.6 shares·also $53 on YES
Invested
$87
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$74
+$74INV $87 · WR 61.4%
Showing top 10 of 44
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