Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$22.9K
2,425 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 792 traders · 32 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
53 YESvs76 NO
41%59%
59% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 25% YES by dollars · 27 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 86%· net of hedges
+479 new YES$12.2K+529 new NO$33.5K
$16.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 240 buyers — left out of momentum
46 smart whales75 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 72% of the money is not a bet
$119 of $8.6K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.0K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $607·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.7K
Avg Win Rate
59.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.6K(-98.5%)
Whales
53
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,769 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$1.9K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1866
$-1866INV $1.9K · WR 58.5%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·730 shares·also $360 on NO
Invested
$365
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-361
$-361INV $365 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·623.5 shares·also $341 on NO
Invested
$312
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-309
$-309INV $312 · WR 56.1%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 47¢·529.6 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-245
$-245INV $248 · WR 61.3%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·210.9 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $106 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·210 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$106
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-105
$-105INV $106 · WR 55.7%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 48¢·217.1 shares·also $35 on NO
Invested
$105
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $105 · WR 61.7%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
C
CometFader
Entry 35¢·147.5 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 64.6%
C
Compassionate-Networking
Entry 31¢·161.4 shares
Invested
$50
Win Rate
83.2%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $50 · WR 83.2%
Showing top 10 of 53
NO Team
Total Invested
$5.3K
Avg Win Rate
64.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.4K(+64.9%)
Whales
76
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,576 shares·also $1.9K on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2265
+$2265INV $2.3K · WR 58.5%
M
mia1111🥈
Entry 99¢·391.1 shares
Invested
$387
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $387 · WR 66.7%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $365 on YES
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$356
+$356INV $360 · WR 56.3%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·681.8 shares·also $312 on YES
Invested
$341
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$338
+$338INV $341 · WR 56.1%
R
rkt.dev
Entry 99¢·250 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-124
$-124INV $248 · WR 92.7%
Y
yangkk
Entry 99¢·178.6 shares
Invested
$177
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $177 · WR 86.2%
C
ClobCleaner
Entry 100¢·128.9 shares
Invested
$129
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-65
$-65INV $129 · WR 93.8%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 64¢·187 shares·also $43 on YES
Invested
$119
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$67
+$67INV $119 · WR 55.1%
D
degen-SDFENGISDFEKS
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
94.5%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $99 · WR 94.5%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $106 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
Showing top 10 of 76
Smart Whale Trades
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