Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$31.3K
3,030 trades
Smart Whales
107
of 852 traders · 34 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
86 YESvs55 NO
61%39%
61% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 74% YES by dollars · 42 YES vs 28 NO taking a side · 16 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 78%· net of hedges
+600 new YES$40.2K+515 new NO$22.4K
$30.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 290 buyers — left out of momentum
80 smart whales51 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 85% of the money is not a bet
$1.8K of $7.4K is held equally on both sides by 12 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $4.5K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $792·NO $280YES Team
Total Invested
$7.3K
Avg Win Rate
65.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.4K(+19.3%)
Whales
86
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,452.9 shares·also $1.6K on NO
Invested
$1.7K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$1295
+$1295INV $1.7K · WR 58.5%
A
algodream🥈
Entry 99¢·1,350 shares
Invested
$1.3K
Win Rate
64.6%
Position P&L
$-655
$-655INV $1.3K · WR 64.6%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·907.8 shares
Invested
$895
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
$-436
$-436INV $895 · WR 89.0%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
$-243
$-243INV $495 · WR 66.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...both sides
Entry 50¢·896.9 shares·also $447 on NO
Invested
$448
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$336
+$336INV $448 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $343 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$270
+$270INV $360 · WR 56.3%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 49¢·335.3 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$165
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
+$129
+$129INV $165 · WR 61.7%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $125 · WR 57.3%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 47¢·260 shares·also $18 on NO
Invested
$123
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$104
+$104INV $123 · WR 61.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $116 · WR 63.0%
Showing top 10 of 86
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.5K(-71.3%)
Whales
55
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·3,211.8 shares·also $1.7K on YES
Invested
$1.6K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1204
$-1204INV $1.6K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·894 shares·also $448 on YES
Invested
$447
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $447 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·685 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$343
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-257
$-257INV $343 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $90 · WR 55.7%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-68
$-68INV $90 · WR 55.0%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $80 · WR 55.4%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 45¢·175.5 shares·also $165 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $79 · WR 61.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 47¢·144.9 shares·also $44 on YES
Invested
$69
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $69 · WR 55.1%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $60 · WR 61.7%
D
Dubravko
Entry 52¢·102.8 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-40
$-40INV $53 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 55
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