Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$17.1K
1,511 trades
Smart Whales
97
of 692 traders · 25 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
39 YESvs83 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 71 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 90%· net of hedges
+315 new YES$5.4K+484 new NO$28.8K
$4.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 138 buyers — left out of momentum
34 smart whales78 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 62% of the money is not a bet
$2.3K of $11.9K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $5.1K is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $230·NO $4.3KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-98.8%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,764.7 shares·also $2.4K on NO
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2359
$-2359INV $2.4K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·917.7 shares·also $459 on NO
Invested
$459
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-454
$-454INV $459 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $370 on NO
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-369
$-369INV $373 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.4%
D
Dubravko
Entry 59¢·127.5 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $75 · WR 55.9%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 53¢·119.3 shares
Invested
$63
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-62
$-62INV $63 · WR 61.3%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 29¢·135 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$39
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $39 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 39
NO Team
Total Invested
$8.0K
Avg Win Rate
71.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.9K(+48.3%)
Whales
83
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,814.7 shares·also $2.4K on YES
Invested
$2.4K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2383
+$2383INV $2.4K · WR 58.5%
7
7kFromBigYahu🥈
Entry 98¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$19
+$19INV $1.5K · WR 94.7%
T
Tall-Face🥉
Entry 98¢·510 shares
Invested
$500
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $500 · WR 86.0%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $495 · WR 66.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...both sides
Entry 50¢·918.2 shares·also $459 on YES
Invested
$459
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$455
+$455INV $459 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...both sides
Entry 50¢·739.4 shares·also $373 on YES
Invested
$370
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$366
+$366INV $370 · WR 56.3%
H
hoodquant
Entry 99¢·361 shares
Invested
$357
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $357 · WR 89.0%
Y
yangkk
Entry 99¢·160 shares
Invested
$159
Win Rate
86.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $159 · WR 86.2%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 57.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $116 · WR 63.0%
Showing top 10 of 83
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