Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$20.6K
1,326 trades
Smart Whales
79
of 668 traders · 19 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
31 YESvs67 NO
32%68%
68% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 56 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 95%· net of hedges
+328 new YES$4.2K+457 new NO$37.0K
$4.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 136 buyers — left out of momentum
23 smart whales64 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 48% of the money is not a bet
$708 of $14.9K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.4K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $321·NO $7.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$3.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.1%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.8K(-97.7%)
Whales
31
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,985 shares·also $2.3K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-2468
$-2468INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·902.9 shares·also $478 on NO
Invested
$451
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-447
$-447INV $451 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $368 on NO
Invested
$360
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-356
$-356INV $360 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-79
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.4%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
J
jasam2
Entry 39¢·133.3 shares
Invested
$52
Win Rate
57.4%
Position P&L
$-52
$-52INV $52 · WR 57.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
P
palmeroscaboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 31
NO Team
Total Invested
$13.5K
Avg Win Rate
79.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$2.5K(+18.7%)
Whales
67
C
ClobCleaner🥇
Entry 100¢·2,500 shares
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
93.8%
Position P&L
$-1260
$-1260INV $2.5K · WR 93.8%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·4,605.3 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$2.3K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2280
+$2280INV $2.3K · WR 58.5%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 98¢·2,165 shares
Invested
$2.1K
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$22
+$22INV $2.1K · WR 89.0%
7
7kFromBigYahu
Entry 99¢·1,500 shares
Invested
$1.5K
Win Rate
94.7%
Position P&L
+$8
+$8INV $1.5K · WR 94.7%
P
Periodic-Marketplace
Entry 99¢·808.1 shares
Invested
$800
Win Rate
87.9%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $800 · WR 87.9%
T
Tall-Face
Entry 99¢·707 shares
Invested
$700
Win Rate
86.0%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $700 · WR 86.0%
M
mia1111
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
66.7%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $495 · WR 66.7%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·955.9 shares·also $451 on YES
Invested
$478
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$473
+$473INV $478 · WR 56.1%
V
V612
Entry 99¢·443.4 shares
Invested
$439
Win Rate
92.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $439 · WR 92.2%
E
0xe1e556d1...hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $360 on YES
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$364
+$364INV $368 · WR 56.3%
Showing top 10 of 67
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