Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$361
41 trades
Smart Whales
78
of 52 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
63 YESvs38 NO
62%38%
62% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 86% YES by dollars · 50 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 89%· net of hedges
+388 new YES$21.4K+270 new NO$4.1K
$3.4K of this was bought on both sides by the same 117 buyers — left out of momentum
49 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 78% of the money is not a bet
$453 of $8.3K is held equally on both sides by 5 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $6.0K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $1.6K·NO $247YES Team
Total Invested
$4.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$3.5K(+73.9%)
Whales
63
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,947.3 shares·also $2.0K on NO
Invested
$2.5K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
+$2301
+$2301INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·952.2 shares·also $462 on NO
Invested
$476
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
+$443
+$443INV $476 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·735 shares·also $373 on NO
Invested
$368
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$342
+$342INV $368 · WR 56.3%
B
Bot.0
Entry 96¢·291.9 shares
Invested
$280
Win Rate
61.1%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $280 · WR 61.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $125 · WR 57.3%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $117 · WR 63.0%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$84
+$84INV $90 · WR 55.7%
D
Dubravko
Entry 57¢·132 shares
Invested
$75
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$52
+$52INV $75 · WR 55.9%
0
010101adshedged
Entry 88¢·70 shares·also $8 on NO
Invested
$61
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $61 · WR 70.3%
Showing top 10 of 63
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.2K(-92.0%)
Whales
38
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,045.8 shares·also $2.5K on YES
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
58.5%
Position P&L
$-1881
$-1881INV $2.0K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·924 shares·also $476 on YES
Invested
$462
Win Rate
56.1%
Position P&L
$-430
$-430INV $462 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·745 shares·also $368 on YES
Invested
$373
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-346
$-346INV $373 · WR 56.3%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
hex001hedged
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $30 on YES
Invested
$80
Win Rate
55.4%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $80 · WR 55.4%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.7%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $60 · WR 61.7%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 44¢·118.8 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-49
$-49INV $53 · WR 61.3%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $38 · WR 56.8%
P
palmeroscahedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
63.1%
Position P&L
$-35
$-35INV $38 · WR 63.1%
Showing top 10 of 38
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