🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$24.6K
1,444 trades
Smart Whales
90
of 701 traders · 24 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

42 YESvs72 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 7% YES by dollars · 19 YES vs 58 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 94%· net of hedges
+333 new YES$4.8K+478 new NO$44.8K
$4.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 140 buyers — left out of momentum
30 smart whales67 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 37% of the money is not a bet
$1.3K of $17.6K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $5.2K is hedged across different prices by 16 wallets. True directional: YES $798·NO $10.3K
YES Team
Total Invested
$4.0K
Avg Win Rate
58.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.9K(-96.8%)
Whales
42
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,951.7 shares·also $1.9K on NO
$-2473INV $2.5K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·976.6 shares·also $494 on NO
$-488INV $488 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
$-375INV $375 · WR 56.3%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·200 shares
$-100INV $100 · WR 55.6%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.7%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
D
Dubravko
Entry 57¢·132 shares
$-75INV $75 · WR 55.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.7%
H
hex001hedged
Entry 50¢·100 shares·also $60 on NO
$-50INV $50 · WR 55.4%
B
billionareman
Entry 26¢·160 shares
$-42INV $42 · WR 70.0%
Showing top 10 of 42

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 1ms (cached)
Smart money 37% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26…