🐋OrcaLayer
Sign In

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.1K
1,362 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 667 traders · 20 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

37 YESvs63 NO
37%63%
63% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 3% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 51 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+316 new YES$4.1K+466 new NO$28.1K
$3.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 137 buyers — left out of momentum
28 smart whales61 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 76% of the money is not a bet
$2.2K of $8.9K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $4.6K is hedged across different prices by 12 wallets. True directional: YES $68·NO $2.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$3.4K
Avg Win Rate
58.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$3.4K(-98.7%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·4,130.7 shares·also $2.5K on NO
$-2045INV $2.1K · WR 58.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·997.6 shares·also $500 on NO
$-494INV $499 · WR 56.1%
E
0xe1e556d1...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·720 shares·also $358 on NO
$-356INV $360 · WR 56.3%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 48¢·190.3 shares·also $90 on NO
$-90INV $91 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.7%
H
hex001both sides
Entry 50¢·160 shares·also $80 on NO
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.4%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 47¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-53INV $54 · WR 61.7%
P
palmeroscaboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-37INV $38 · WR 63.1%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·55 shares·also $77 on NO
$-27INV $28 · WR 76.8%
J
JBHYDRA
Entry 53¢·45 shares
$-24INV $24 · WR 67.0%
Showing top 10 of 37

Smart Whale Trades

Loading trades...

Price History (YES)

Loading chart...
Loaded in 82ms
Smart money 37% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26…