Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$26.5K
3,126 trades
Smart Whales
125
of 972 traders · 30 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
87 YESvs68 NO
56%44%
56% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 42% YES by dollars · 46 YES vs 44 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 64%· net of hedges
+672 new YES$30.3K+600 new NO$22.6K
$26.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 324 buyers — left out of momentum
90 smart whales63 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 59% of the money is not a bet
$964 of $3.1K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $887 is hedged across different prices by 23 wallets. True directional: YES $533·NO $731YES Team
Total Invested
$3.5K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$352(+10.1%)
Whales
87
A
algodream🥇
Entry 99¢·987.9 shares
Invested
$978
Win Rate
64.4%
Position P&L
$-479
$-479INV $978 · WR 64.4%
M
mia1111🥈hedged
Entry 99¢·635 shares·also $16 on NO
Invested
$627
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
$-307
$-307INV $627 · WR 66.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·564.2 shares·also $283 on NO
Invested
$282
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$257
+$257INV $282 · WR 55.6%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 48¢·370.5 shares·also $240 on NO
Invested
$179
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$175
+$175INV $179 · WR 55.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $125 · WR 56.9%
D
DRX.deft
Entry 94¢·125 shares
Invested
$117
Win Rate
89.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $117 · WR 89.0%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $116 · WR 62.5%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 48¢·212.8 shares·also $79 on NO
Invested
$102
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$101
+$101INV $102 · WR 62.0%
D
degen-SDFENGISDFEKS
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $95 · WR 94.4%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
+$82
+$82INV $90 · WR 55.7%
Showing top 10 of 87
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
60.5%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-58.0%)
Whales
68
2
0x29efa7c2...🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·565.1 shares·also $282 on YES
Invested
$283
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-257
$-257INV $283 · WR 55.6%
B
0xb543fd77...🥈hedged
Entry 60¢·398.7 shares·also $179 on YES
Invested
$240
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-222
$-222INV $240 · WR 55.1%
R
riverunit85🥉hedged
Entry 63¢·189 shares·also $73 on YES
Invested
$120
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
$-26
$-26INV $120 · WR 56.9%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-82
$-82INV $90 · WR 55.7%
O
ohioism
Entry 78¢·102.9 shares
Invested
$80
Win Rate
60.1%
Position P&L
$-76
$-76INV $80 · WR 60.1%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 68¢·117.4 shares·also $102 on YES
Invested
$79
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $79 · WR 62.0%
S
Spherical-bolt
Entry 64¢·120 shares
Invested
$76
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-71
$-71INV $76 · WR 63.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $60 · WR 61.4%
Z
zhuoyue800
Entry 78¢·65.4 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-48
$-48INV $51 · WR 65.2%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 69¢·70 shares·also $35 on YES
Invested
$48
Win Rate
57.6%
Position P&L
$-45
$-45INV $48 · WR 57.6%
Showing top 10 of 68
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