Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
YES Price
50¢
50% implied
NO Price
50¢
50% implied
Volume
$6
1,750 trades
Smart Whales
66
of 653 traders · 22 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
35 YESvs53 NO
40%60%
60% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 8% YES by dollars · 15 YES vs 42 NO taking a side · 6 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+345 new YES$5.1K+481 new NO$26.7K
$6.0K of this was bought on both sides by the same 167 buyers — left out of momentum
30 smart whales54 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 30% of the money is not a bet
$412 of $3.9K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $757 is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $209·NO $2.5KYES Team
Total Invested
$841
Avg Win Rate
64.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$807(-96.0%)
Whales
35
2
0x29efa7c2...🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·603.4 shares·also $297 on NO
Invested
$302
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
$-301
$-301INV $302 · WR 55.6%
S
shangqian🥈
Entry 4¢·3,000 shares
Invested
$114
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $114 · WR 94.4%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.7%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.7%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.4%
M
Mizukazehedged
Entry 95¢·50 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$47
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $47 · WR 94.4%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 24¢·112.1 shares·also $3 on NO
Invested
$27
Win Rate
68.5%
Position P&L
$-27
$-27INV $27 · WR 68.5%
5
5ffpa4f
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $25 · WR 56.4%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 22¢·98.9 shares·also $68 on NO
Invested
$22
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-22
$-22INV $22 · WR 55.1%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 35
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.1K
Avg Win Rate
73.2%
Aggregate P&L
+$783(+25.4%)
Whales
53
V
V612🥇
Entry 99¢·500 shares
Invested
$495
Win Rate
92.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $495 · WR 92.1%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·594.1 shares·also $302 on YES
Invested
$297
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$296
+$296INV $297 · WR 55.6%
M
mia1111🥉
Entry 99¢·255 shares
Invested
$252
Win Rate
66.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $252 · WR 66.6%
J
Joking4
Entry 92¢·241.6 shares
Invested
$223
Win Rate
71.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $223 · WR 71.0%
W
Wessa
Entry 99¢·222.2 shares
Invested
$220
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $220 · WR 90.2%
F
futurewalker9
Entry 98¢·158 shares
Invested
$155
Win Rate
89.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $155 · WR 89.4%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.9%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$117
Win Rate
62.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $117 · WR 62.5%
E
EZTRADNL1hedged
Entry 79¢·127.9 shares·also $12 on YES
Invested
$100
Win Rate
62.0%
Position P&L
+$27
+$27INV $100 · WR 62.0%
D
daconggogogo
Entry 97¢·102.1 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
81.5%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $99 · WR 81.5%
Showing top 10 of 53
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