Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$15.5K
1,242 trades
Smart Whales
80
of 636 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
66 YESvs35 NO
65%35%
65% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 73% YES by dollars · 55 YES vs 16 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 87%· net of hedges
+412 new YES$26.6K+325 new NO$6.5K
$5.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 130 buyers — left out of momentum
60 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 58% of the money is not a bet
$1.2K of $4.2K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.2K is hedged across different prices by 14 wallets. True directional: YES $1.3K·NO $484YES Team
Total Invested
$2.5K
Avg Win Rate
66.3%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.5K(+58.1%)
Whales
66
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·969.5 shares·also $561 on NO
Invested
$485
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$480
+$480INV $485 · WR 58.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$371
+$371INV $375 · WR 55.5%
M
moneymaker748🥉
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.4%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.7%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.7%
T
Tame-Want-Sister
Entry 77¢·132.3 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
85.5%
Position P&L
+$30
+$30INV $102 · WR 85.5%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 99¢·100 shares
Invested
$99
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $99 · WR 83.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 65¢·134.3 shares·also $30 on NO
Invested
$87
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$46
+$46INV $87 · WR 56.6%
S
Spherical-bolt
Entry 81¢·100 shares
Invested
$81
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
+$18
+$18INV $81 · WR 63.0%
Showing top 10 of 66
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-98.9%)
Whales
35
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,122.1 shares·also $485 on YES
Invested
$561
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-555
$-555INV $561 · WR 58.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-371
$-371INV $375 · WR 55.5%
S
Stimulating-Power🥉
Entry 50¢·589.2 shares
Invested
$296
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-293
$-293INV $296 · WR 61.5%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $65 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.4%
1
13897651
Entry 55¢·91.2 shares
Invested
$51
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-50
$-50INV $51 · WR 56.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 38¢·80 shares·also $87 on YES
Invested
$30
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $30 · WR 56.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 35
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