Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$460
32 trades
Smart Whales
28
of 36 traders · 15 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
20 YESvs23 NO
47%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 94% YES by dollars · 10 YES vs 9 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 53%· net of hedges
+161 new YES$4.2K+172 new NO$3.8K
$2.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 68 buyers — left out of momentum
14 smart whales17 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 79% of the money is not a bet
$2.5K of $3.5K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $208 is hedged across different prices by 8 wallets. True directional: YES $698·NO $42YES Team
Total Invested
$2.1K
Avg Win Rate
62.7%
Aggregate P&L
-$307(-14.9%)
Whales
20
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,325 shares·also $656 on NO
Invested
$663
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-73
$-73INV $663 · WR 58.6%
7
0x7759a35a...🥈
Entry 56¢·925.9 shares
Invested
$521
Win Rate
77.2%
Position P&L
$-109
$-109INV $521 · WR 77.2%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on NO
Invested
$375
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-41
$-41INV $375 · WR 55.5%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 66¢·137.7 shares·also $39 on NO
Invested
$91
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
$-30
$-30INV $91 · WR 56.3%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $90 · WR 55.8%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 53¢·135.4 shares
Invested
$71
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $71 · WR 61.5%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $60 · WR 61.4%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 53¢·74.1 shares·also $26 on NO
Invested
$40
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-7
$-7INV $40 · WR 56.6%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-4
$-4INV $38 · WR 56.8%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·50 shares·also $14 on NO
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
$-2
$-2INV $25 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 20
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.4K
Avg Win Rate
57.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$159(+11.4%)
Whales
23
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·1,312 shares·also $663 on YES
Invested
$656
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$72
+$72INV $656 · WR 58.6%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·750 shares·also $375 on YES
Invested
$375
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$41
+$41INV $375 · WR 55.5%
P
polpotatoes🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $60 · WR 61.4%
1
13897651hedged
Entry 47¢·83.2 shares·also $91 on YES
Invested
$39
Win Rate
56.3%
Position P&L
+$7
+$7INV $39 · WR 56.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $38 · WR 56.8%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 51¢·50.1 shares·also $40 on YES
Invested
$26
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $26 · WR 56.6%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $19 · WR 58.0%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 46¢·33 shares·also $9 on YES
Invested
$15
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $15 · WR 55.1%
5
5ffpa4fhedged
Entry 49¢·28.6 shares·also $25 on YES
Invested
$14
Win Rate
56.4%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $14 · WR 56.4%
Showing top 10 of 23
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