Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$23.3K
1,869 trades
Smart Whales
88
of 806 traders · 24 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
78 YESvs34 NO
70%30%
70% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 90% YES by dollars · 61 YES vs 15 NO taking a side · 4 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 90%· net of hedges
+584 new YES$38.0K+362 new NO$8.5K
$9.6K of this was bought on both sides by the same 176 buyers — left out of momentum
74 smart whales25 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 41% of the money is not a bet
$38 of $7.1K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $2.8K is hedged across different prices by 22 wallets. True directional: YES $3.8K·NO $428YES Team
Total Invested
$5.9K
Avg Win Rate
74.4%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.3K(+21.3%)
Whales
78
M
mia1111🥇hedged
Entry 99¢·935 shares·also $27 on NO
Invested
$924
Win Rate
66.8%
Position P&L
+$6
+$6INV $924 · WR 66.8%
H
hoodquant🥈
Entry 97¢·673.4 shares
Invested
$654
Win Rate
88.3%
Position P&L
+$16
+$16INV $654 · WR 88.3%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·1,107 shares·also $560 on NO
Invested
$553
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$548
+$548INV $553 · WR 58.6%
V
V612
Entry 99¢·451.4 shares
Invested
$447
Win Rate
92.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $447 · WR 92.0%
2
0x29efa7c2...hedged
Entry 50¢·686 shares·also $319 on NO
Invested
$343
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
+$340
+$340INV $343 · WR 55.5%
C
ClobCleaner
Entry 100¢·327.1 shares
Invested
$327
Win Rate
93.7%
Position P&L
$-162
$-162INV $327 · WR 93.7%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $294 · WR 91.4%
R
rkt.dev
Entry 99¢·250 shares
Invested
$248
Win Rate
91.9%
Position P&L
$-121
$-121INV $248 · WR 91.9%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 68¢·304.2 shares·also $131 on NO
Invested
$208
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$95
+$95INV $208 · WR 56.6%
S
Scared-Puffin
Entry 99¢·200 shares
Invested
$197
Win Rate
83.0%
Position P&L
+$2
+$2INV $197 · WR 83.0%
Showing top 10 of 78
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.9K
Avg Win Rate
58.8%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.8K(-97.3%)
Whales
34
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,120.4 shares·also $553 on YES
Invested
$560
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-555
$-555INV $560 · WR 58.6%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈hedged
Entry 48¢·704.1 shares·also $79 on YES
Invested
$338
Win Rate
61.5%
Position P&L
$-335
$-335INV $338 · WR 61.5%
2
0x29efa7c2...🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·638 shares·also $343 on YES
Invested
$319
Win Rate
55.5%
Position P&L
$-316
$-316INV $319 · WR 55.5%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 36¢·363.3 shares·also $208 on YES
Invested
$131
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-129
$-129INV $131 · WR 56.6%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.8%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.4%
Position P&L
$-59
$-59INV $60 · WR 61.4%
S
Spherical-bolt
Entry 48¢·100 shares
Invested
$48
Win Rate
63.0%
Position P&L
$-47
$-47INV $48 · WR 63.0%
0
0DD909D9hedged
Entry 41¢·95 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$39
Win Rate
67.7%
Position P&L
$-38
$-38INV $39 · WR 67.7%
H
highpolishedged
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $8 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 34
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