Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$4
97 trades
Smart Whales
84
of 84 traders · 21 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
66 YESvs39 NO
63%37%
63% of smart money holding this market is on YESNet of both-sides wallets: 80% YES by dollars · 55 YES vs 21 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 57%· net of hedges
+380 new YES$10.5K+327 new NO$9.1K
$9.9K of this was bought on both sides by the same 162 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales27 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 44% of the money is not a bet
$98 of $4.4K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.8K is hedged across different prices by 18 wallets. True directional: YES $2.0K·NO $495YES Team
Total Invested
$2.9K
Avg Win Rate
68.1%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+39.6%)
Whales
66
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,412.8 shares·also $492 on NO
Invested
$706
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$657
+$657INV $706 · WR 58.6%
M
moneymaker748🥈
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $294 · WR 91.4%
W
WhiteKnight17🥉
Entry 99¢·202.1 shares
Invested
$200
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $200 · WR 87.6%
W
wbhk-trader1
Entry 94¢·183.2 shares
Invested
$173
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $173 · WR 96.1%
B
Bot.0
Entry 96¢·155.9 shares
Invested
$150
Win Rate
55.6%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $150 · WR 55.6%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 63¢·210.6 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$133
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$70
+$70INV $133 · WR 55.9%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $125 · WR 56.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$117
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $117 · WR 62.1%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 53¢·209.8 shares·also $112 on NO
Invested
$112
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $112 · WR 55.9%
J
Jurunohedged
Entry 97¢·100 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$97
Win Rate
94.3%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $97 · WR 94.3%
Showing top 10 of 66
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.5K
Avg Win Rate
59.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.3K(-90.0%)
Whales
39
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·983.7 shares·also $706 on YES
Invested
$492
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-457
$-457INV $492 · WR 58.6%
A
ApexUpDown🥈
Entry 62¢·248.9 shares
Invested
$154
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
$-145
$-145INV $154 · WR 63.8%
F
Fatherly-Cabin🥉hedged
Entry 48¢·235.2 shares·also $112 on YES
Invested
$112
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $112 · WR 55.9%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $133 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-84
$-84INV $90 · WR 55.0%
S
Stimulating-Power
Entry 51¢·162 shares
Invested
$83
Win Rate
61.6%
Position P&L
$-77
$-77INV $83 · WR 61.6%
L
lelimarket
Entry 47¢·146.6 shares
Invested
$69
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-64
$-64INV $69 · WR 58.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $63 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-56
$-56INV $60 · WR 61.3%
A
AXING999
Entry 6¢·828 shares
Invested
$53
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-24
$-24INV $53 · WR 65.2%
Q
QuadBTC
Entry 69¢·66.5 shares
Invested
$46
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-44
$-44INV $46 · WR 60.8%
Showing top 10 of 39
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