Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
YES Price
8¢
8% implied
NO Price
92¢
92% implied
Volume
$2
2,902 trades
Smart Whales
130
of 956 traders · 23 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
70 YESvs83 NO
46%54%
54% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 6% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 69 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 51%· net of hedges
+583 new YES$30.6K+636 new NO$29.7K
$23.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 272 buyers — left out of momentum
76 smart whales86 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 62% of the money is not a bet
$67 of $4.9K is held equally on both sides by 3 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $3.0K is hedged across different prices by 20 wallets. True directional: YES $113·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$5.1K
Avg Win Rate
75.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$914(-18.1%)
Whales
70
C
chairh4ter🥇
Entry 99¢·1,800 shares
Invested
$1.8K
Win Rate
84.5%
Position P&L
$-1647
$-1647INV $1.8K · WR 84.5%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈hedged
Entry 50¢·1,831 shares·also $987 on NO
Invested
$916
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$870
+$870INV $916 · WR 58.6%
H
hoodquant🥉
Entry 99¢·475.8 shares
Invested
$471
Win Rate
88.1%
Position P&L
$-435
$-435INV $471 · WR 88.1%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
$-272
$-272INV $294 · WR 91.4%
R
Roberto60
Entry 99¢·275.3 shares
Invested
$273
Win Rate
77.4%
Position P&L
$-252
$-252INV $273 · WR 77.4%
2
286F265f-178607406
Entry 97¢·179.4 shares
Invested
$174
Win Rate
92.7%
Position P&L
$-161
$-161INV $174 · WR 92.7%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 37¢·408.6 shares·also $300 on NO
Invested
$153
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
+$246
+$246INV $153 · WR 55.1%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on NO
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-115
$-115INV $125 · WR 56.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on NO
Invested
$116
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-107
$-107INV $116 · WR 62.1%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 36¢·236.3 shares·also $189 on NO
Invested
$86
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$144
+$144INV $86 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 70
NO Team
Total Invested
$3.3K
Avg Win Rate
68.0%
Aggregate P&L
-$2.8K(-83.2%)
Whales
83
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,973.6 shares·also $916 on YES
Invested
$987
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-937
$-937INV $987 · WR 58.6%
B
0xb543fd77...🥈hedged
Entry 71¢·424.7 shares·also $153 on YES
Invested
$300
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-290
$-290INV $300 · WR 55.1%
W
wbhk-trader1🥉
Entry 93¢·243.1 shares
Invested
$225
Win Rate
96.1%
Position P&L
$-219
$-219INV $225 · WR 96.1%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 67¢·282.7 shares·also $86 on YES
Invested
$189
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-182
$-182INV $189 · WR 55.9%
A
absolute.unit
Entry 68¢·151.5 shares
Invested
$102
Win Rate
88.6%
Position P&L
$-99
$-99INV $102 · WR 88.6%
E
Embrujade
Entry 95¢·105.3 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
71.2%
Position P&L
$-98
$-98INV $100 · WR 71.2%
A
Aggravating-Medication-Octopushedged
Entry 50¢·199.6 shares·also $57 on YES
Invested
$99
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
$-94
$-94INV $99 · WR 90.2%
J
Juruno
Entry 95¢·100 shares
Invested
$95
Win Rate
94.3%
Position P&L
$-93
$-93INV $95 · WR 94.3%
P
poliphonicly1hedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoeshedged
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $75 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-86
$-86INV $90 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 83
Smart Whale Trades
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