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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$564
27 trades
Smart Whales
43
of 33 traders · 17 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

25 YESvs35 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 5% YES by dollars · 8 YES vs 25 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 62%· net of hedges
+169 new YES$4.8K+218 new NO$6.9K
$2.8K of this was bought on both sides by the same 66 buyers — left out of momentum
15 smart whales23 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 65% of the money is not a bet
$505 of $3.2K is held equally on both sides by 8 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $61·NO $1.1K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
59.3%
Aggregate P&L
-$699(-62.9%)
Whales
25
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,281.5 shares·also $750 on NO
$-417INV $641 · WR 58.6%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-59INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-59INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-37INV $58 · WR 61.3%
S
Stimulating-Powerhedged
Entry 36¢·122.5 shares·also $502 on NO
$-23INV $44 · WR 61.6%
M
move4
Entry 39¢·100 shares
$-21INV $39 · WR 74.8%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
$-24INV $38 · WR 56.8%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 28¢·99.5 shares·also $104 on NO
$-11INV $28 · WR 55.9%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
$-12INV $19 · WR 58.0%
W
w-03both sides
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $11 on NO
$-7INV $11 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 25

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 39% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…