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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET

View on Polymarket
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$26.3K
2,030 trades
Smart Whales
106
of 894 traders · 31 on both sides

Smart Money Consensus

57 YESvs80 NO
42%58%
58% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 11% YES by dollars · 28 YES vs 66 NO taking a side · 10 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 87%· net of hedges
+456 new YES$10.7K+602 new NO$41.9K
$10.3K of this was bought on both sides by the same 194 buyers — left out of momentum
53 smart whales79 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 25% of the money is not a bet
$205 of $8.4K is held equally on both sides by 4 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.9K is hedged across different prices by 27 wallets. True directional: YES $672·NO $5.6K
YES Team
Total Invested
$1.8K
Avg Win Rate
59.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.7K(-98.0%)
Whales
57
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,142.1 shares·also $735 on NO
$-565INV $571 · WR 58.6%
S
Stimulating-Power🥈hedged
Entry 43¢·892.4 shares·also $45 on NO
$-380INV $385 · WR 61.6%
P
poliphonicly1🥉hedged
Entry 47¢·210.7 shares·also $90 on NO
$-98INV $99 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
M
moontrader1
Entry 50¢·160 shares
$-79INV $80 · WR 55.6%
A
asdaasda
Entry 43¢·150 shares
$-63INV $64 · WR 57.8%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.3%
A
ApexTitan
Entry 44¢·95.2 shares
$-41INV $42 · WR 73.9%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 43¢·96 shares·also $53 on NO
$-40INV $41 · WR 57.9%
F
Fatherly-Cabinhedged
Entry 40¢·79.7 shares·also $80 on NO
$-32INV $32 · WR 55.9%
Showing top 10 of 57

Smart Whale Trades

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Price History (YES)

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Smart money 42% YES: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22…