Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$62
4 trades
Smart Whales
5
of 7 traders · 4 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
4 YESvs5 NO
44%56%
56% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 0% YES by dollars · 0 YES vs 2 NO taking a side · 3 on both sides
Last 24h FlowYES momentum 56%· net of hedges
+21 new YES$500+25 new NO$413
$129 of this was bought on both sides by the same 7 buyers — left out of momentum
1 smart whale2 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 96% of the money is not a bet
$39 of $1.5K is held equally on both sides by 2 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.4K is hedged across different prices by 2 wallets. True directional: YES $0·NO $61YES Team
Total Invested
$738
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
+$37(+5.0%)
Whales
4
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,427.7 shares·also $750 on NO
Invested
$714
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$36
+$36INV $714 · WR 58.6%
L
lelimarket🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Z
zhangyuan🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $5 · WR 65.2%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·2 shares·also $1 on NO
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $1 · WR 58.3%
NO Team
Total Invested
$799
Avg Win Rate
58.6%
Aggregate P&L
-$23(-2.9%)
Whales
5
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $714 on YES
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-23
$-23INV $750 · WR 58.6%
5
5ffpa4f🥈
Entry 49¢·50 shares
Invested
$25
Win Rate
56.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $25 · WR 56.2%
L
lelimarket🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on YES
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-1
$-1INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Z
zhangyuanhedged
Entry 49¢·10 shares·also $5 on YES
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $5 · WR 65.2%
H
Hinkeboth sides
Entry 50¢·2 shares·also $1 on YES
Invested
$1
Win Rate
58.3%
Position P&L
$-0
$-0INV $1 · WR 58.3%
Smart Whale Trades
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Price History (YES)
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