Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$29
96 trades
Smart Whales
57
of 82 traders · 16 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
33 YESvs40 NO
45%55%
55% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 9% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 30 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 89%· net of hedges
+401 new YES$7.4K+507 new NO$25.7K
$9.5K of this was bought on both sides by the same 181 buyers — left out of momentum
33 smart whales60 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 74% of the money is not a bet
$503 of $2.8K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.6K is hedged across different prices by 9 wallets. True directional: YES $67·NO $668YES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
58.9%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.1K(-98.9%)
Whales
33
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,356.8 shares·also $750 on NO
Invested
$678
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-672
$-672INV $678 · WR 58.6%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-89
$-89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·115 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$58
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $58 · WR 61.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
D
Dubravko
Entry 53¢·40.3 shares
Invested
$21
Win Rate
58.4%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 58.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
0
0x052c8527...hedged
Entry 41¢·31.5 shares·also $17 on NO
Invested
$13
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
$-13
$-13INV $13 · WR 60.8%
O
orangelinboth sides
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $11 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 70.3%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 35¢·30 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $11 · WR 55.1%
Showing top 10 of 33
NO Team
Total Invested
$1.7K
Avg Win Rate
63.7%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.7K(+99.9%)
Whales
40
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,500 shares·also $678 on YES
Invested
$750
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$743
+$743INV $750 · WR 58.6%
J
jhjhjhjhjh🥈hedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $125 · WR 56.6%
X
xlei🥉
Entry 90¢·105 shares
Invested
$94
Win Rate
86.1%
Position P&L
+$10
+$10INV $94 · WR 86.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$89
+$89INV $90 · WR 55.0%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalysthedged
Entry 90¢·94.2 shares·also $7 on YES
Invested
$85
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$9
+$9INV $85 · WR 85.9%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $58 on YES
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
+$59
+$59INV $60 · WR 61.3%
F
futurewalker9
Entry 96¢·45.9 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
90.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $44 · WR 90.2%
Q
QuadBTC
Entry 68¢·64.4 shares
Invested
$44
Win Rate
60.8%
Position P&L
+$20
+$20INV $44 · WR 60.8%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on YES
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
+$37
+$37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
Showing top 10 of 40
Smart Whale Trades
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