Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$13.6K
1,132 trades
Smart Whales
68
of 557 traders · 12 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
28 YESvs52 NO
35%65%
65% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 4% YES by dollars · 13 YES vs 39 NO taking a side · 8 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 92%· net of hedges
+254 new YES$3.4K+372 new NO$23.7K
$3.1K of this was bought on both sides by the same 95 buyers — left out of momentum
20 smart whales44 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis
$595 of $7.7K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $1.1K is hedged across different prices by 5 wallets. True directional: YES $240·NO $5.7KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.1K
Avg Win Rate
58.4%
Aggregate P&L
-$939(-84.7%)
Whales
28
A
arcsine-barrister🥇hedged
Entry 50¢·1,457.6 shares·also $516 on NO
Invested
$729
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-728
$-728INV $729 · WR 58.6%
P
polpotatoes🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1🥉both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
G
grundelithboth sides
Entry 50¢·120 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$60
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $60 · WR 61.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 21¢·101.9 shares·also $86 on NO
Invested
$21
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
$-21
$-21INV $21 · WR 57.9%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
O
orangelinhedged
Entry 50¢·22 shares·also $31 on NO
Invested
$11
Win Rate
70.3%
Position P&L
$-11
$-11INV $11 · WR 70.3%
5
0x5df41f76...
Entry 28¢·34 shares
Invested
$10
Win Rate
57.3%
Position P&L
$-10
$-10INV $10 · WR 57.3%
Z
zhangyuanhedged
Entry 50¢·10 shares·also $5 on NO
Invested
$5
Win Rate
65.2%
Position P&L
$-5
$-5INV $5 · WR 65.2%
Showing top 10 of 28
NO Team
Total Invested
$6.9K
Avg Win Rate
65.0%
Aggregate P&L
+$914(+13.2%)
Whales
52
H
Haunting-Cheese🥇
Entry 100¢·2,594.9 shares
Invested
$2.6K
Win Rate
55.2%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2.6K · WR 55.2%
A
averagerandomman◆Proven🥈
Entry 100¢·2,005 shares
Invested
$2.0K
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $2.0K · WR 75.7%
A
arcsine-barrister🥉hedged
Entry 50¢·1,032.4 shares·also $729 on YES
Invested
$516
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$516
+$516INV $516 · WR 58.6%
M
moneymaker748
Entry 98¢·300 shares
Invested
$294
Win Rate
91.4%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $294 · WR 91.4%
A
ApexUpDown
Entry 76¢·199.5 shares
Invested
$152
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$47
+$47INV $152 · WR 63.8%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
$-60
$-60INV $125 · WR 56.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
$-57
$-57INV $116 · WR 62.1%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
_
_test_i075_T1hedged
Entry 81¢·107.3 shares·also $21 on YES
Invested
$86
Win Rate
57.9%
Position P&L
+$21
+$21INV $86 · WR 57.9%
Showing top 10 of 52
Smart Whale Trades
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