Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
YES Price
51¢
51% implied
NO Price
49¢
49% implied
Volume
$19.8K
1,924 trades
Smart Whales
78
of 701 traders · 24 on both sides
Smart Money Consensus
37 YESvs65 NO
36%64%
64% of smart money holding this market is on NONet of both-sides wallets: 15% YES by dollars · 17 YES vs 52 NO taking a side · 9 on both sides
Last 24h FlowNO momentum 80%· net of hedges
+393 new YES$12.6K+475 new NO$26.9K
$15.7K of this was bought on both sides by the same 193 buyers — left out of momentum
35 smart whales63 smart whales
Both-sides exposure · invested basis · 47% of the money is not a bet
$1.5K of $3.9K is held equally on both sides by 7 wallets — not a bet on the outcome. $394 is hedged across different prices by 17 wallets. True directional: YES $299·NO $1.8KYES Team
Total Invested
$1.2K
Avg Win Rate
60.2%
Aggregate P&L
-$1.2K(-99.9%)
Whales
37
A
arcsine-barrister🥇both sides
Entry 50¢·958.7 shares·also $483 on NO
Invested
$479
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
$-479
$-479INV $479 · WR 58.6%
I
Ill-Informed-Mistake🥈hedged
Entry 45¢·230.5 shares·also $25 on NO
Invested
$104
Win Rate
65.7%
Position P&L
$-104
$-104INV $104 · WR 65.7%
C
CoolFong🥉
Entry 64¢·161.3 shares
Invested
$103
Win Rate
68.0%
Position P&L
$-103
$-103INV $103 · WR 68.0%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on NO
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
$-90
$-90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
B
0xb543fd77...hedged
Entry 26¢·278.3 shares·also $51 on NO
Invested
$74
Win Rate
55.1%
Position P&L
$-74
$-74INV $74 · WR 55.1%
G
grundelithhedged
Entry 50¢·110 shares·also $60 on NO
Invested
$55
Win Rate
61.3%
Position P&L
$-55
$-55INV $55 · WR 61.3%
H
highpolisboth sides
Entry 50¢·75 shares·also $38 on NO
Invested
$38
Win Rate
56.8%
Position P&L
$-37
$-37INV $38 · WR 56.8%
L
Lonely-Dresserhedged
Entry 50¢·68.4 shares·also $10 on NO
Invested
$34
Win Rate
69.4%
Position P&L
$-34
$-34INV $34 · WR 69.4%
L
lelimarketboth sides
Entry 50¢·37 shares·also $19 on NO
Invested
$19
Win Rate
58.0%
Position P&L
$-18
$-18INV $19 · WR 58.0%
Showing top 10 of 37
NO Team
Total Invested
$2.7K
Avg Win Rate
67.9%
Aggregate P&L
+$1.2K(+44.9%)
Whales
65
A
averagerandomman◆Proven🥇
Entry 100¢·522.5 shares
Invested
$522
Win Rate
75.7%
Position P&L
+$0
+$0INV $522 · WR 75.7%
A
arcsine-barrister🥈both sides
Entry 50¢·965.5 shares·also $479 on YES
Invested
$483
Win Rate
58.6%
Position P&L
+$482
+$482INV $483 · WR 58.6%
A
ApexUpDown🥉
Entry 71¢·213.5 shares
Invested
$153
Win Rate
63.8%
Position P&L
+$61
+$61INV $153 · WR 63.8%
J
jhjhjhjhjhhedged
Entry 96¢·130 shares·also $4 on YES
Invested
$125
Win Rate
56.6%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $125 · WR 56.6%
N
not-epsteinhedged
Entry 97¢·120 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$116
Win Rate
62.1%
Position P&L
+$4
+$4INV $116 · WR 62.1%
W
WhiteKnight17
Entry 99¢·101 shares
Invested
$100
Win Rate
87.6%
Position P&L
+$1
+$1INV $100 · WR 87.6%
D
degen-SDFENGISDFEKS
Entry 97¢·100 shares
Invested
$97
Win Rate
94.4%
Position P&L
+$3
+$3INV $97 · WR 94.4%
P
poliphonicly1both sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.0%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.0%
P
polpotatoesboth sides
Entry 50¢·180 shares·also $90 on YES
Invested
$90
Win Rate
55.9%
Position P&L
+$90
+$90INV $90 · WR 55.9%
K
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalysthedged
Entry 94¢·88.3 shares·also $2 on YES
Invested
$83
Win Rate
85.9%
Position P&L
+$5
+$5INV $83 · WR 85.9%
Showing top 10 of 65
Smart Whale Trades
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